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Do you think blu-ray or hd dvd will become the next standard?

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I've already bought a PS3 about two months ago, but I keep wondering about what will become the new standard for hi def content. Do you think blu-ray or hd dvd will become the next standard? It seems similar to the beta / vhs format issues that happened with VCR's from when I was a kid...I didn't understand that then either, and now as an adult, I don't understand the blu-ray vs hd dvd issue. What do you think will become hi def standard & why?