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What are the chances of this?

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So my mom told me today that she might be pregnant, because her period is a month late. The only time she has ever missed a period is when she has been pregnant. But the thing is, my mom has her tubes tied and my stepdad had a vasectomy. I know neither are not both 100 percent effective. I just want to know the chances of her being pregnant. I asked if she had ever cheated but she said no. Im just not so sure about this..